Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matt Frevola is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Ottman Azaitar has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Ottman Azaitar is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Matt Frevola has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Ottman Azaitar has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ottman Azaitar (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt FrevolaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Genaro Valdez · Jan 22W
KOvs Drew Dober · May 23L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 23L
KOvs Fares Ziam · Sep 24 Ottman AzaitarL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Teemu Packalen · Sep 19W
KOvs Khama Worthy · Sep 20L
KOvs Francisco Prado · Jul 23L
KOvs Michael Johnson · Dec 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt FrevolaMetricOttman Azaitar
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Frevola(10 fights)Ottman Azaitar(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -497.0|Blue +497.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt FrevolaTargetOttman Azaitar
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Frevola edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
