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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Mason Jones won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1470

Elo1542

Bolaji OkivsMason JonesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Saturday, September 6, 2025Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Mason Jones won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:18

Style matchupBolaji Oki: Pressure fightervsMason Jones: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Mason Jones wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Mason Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mason Jones at -148 American odds

+$68 profit

$168 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bolaji Oki has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Bolaji Oki

Red Corner

Mason Jones

Blue Corner

+126

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-148

(60%)

1470

Elo

1542

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bolaji Oki

oldest →

vs Timmy Cuamba · Feb 24

SUBvs Chris Duncan · Sep 24

vs Michael Aswell Jr. · May 25

KOvs Manoel Sousa · Mar 26

latest

Mason JonesW2 streak

oldest →

vs Mike Davis · Jan 21

vs David Onama · Oct 21

vs Ludovit Klein · Jul 22

vs Jeremy Stephens · May 25

vs Axel Sola · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bolaji OkiMetricMason Jones

6.42

Strikes / min

5.98

5.12

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

61%

Strike defense

50%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

3.48

75%

Takedown defense

73%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.30evenly matched on net striking+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bolaji OkiMason Jones

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bolaji Oki(5 fights)Mason Jones(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -71.7|Blue +71.7

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bolaji OkiTargetMason Jones

By target zone

34% acc · 68%

Head

41% acc · 91%

42% acc · 21%

Body

67% acc · 4%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

60% acc · 5%

By position

40% acc · 89%

Distance

27% acc · 40%

Clinch

67% acc · 4%

29% acc · 11%

Ground

65% acc · 56%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bolaji Oki rounds

even

Mason Jones rounds

Round 1Bolaji Oki edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:21

Knockdowns1

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:16Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Mason Jones edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

37Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:25Control

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 99

Sig Strikes

57 / 136

36.5%

Sig Str %

40.5%

40 / 101

Total Strikes

67 / 147

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 2

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:21

Ctrl Time

3:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mason Jones	20 / 57	25 / 62	1 / 1	1
1	Bolaji Oki	29 / 73	31 / 75	0 / 0	0
2	Mason Jones	37 / 79	42 / 85	1 / 1	0
2	Bolaji Oki	9 / 26	9 / 26	0 / 1	0

Bolaji Oki

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5

Mason Jones

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6