Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jesse Ronson enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jesse Ronson (53.5%).
- Nicolas Dalby has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nicolas Dalby
oldest →W
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 23W
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 23L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jun 24L
KOvs Randy Brown · Apr 25W
vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25 Jesse RonsonL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Michel Prazeres · Sep 13L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 14L
SUBvs Rafa Garcia · Apr 22L
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Oct 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nicolas DalbyMetricJesse Ronson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nicolas DalbyJesse Ronson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)Jesse Ronson(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +71.4|Blue -71.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -1910.0|Blue +1910.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nicolas DalbyTargetJesse Ronson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jesse Ronson edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:26
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
