Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nora Cornolle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nora Cornolle has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Hailey Cowan has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hailey Cowan (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nora CornolleL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Joselyne Edwards · Sep 23W
KOvs Melissa Mullins · Apr 24L
vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Sep 24L
SUBvs Joselyne Edwards · Feb 26 Hailey CowanL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 23L
KOvs Alice Pereira · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nora CornolleMetricHailey Cowan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.69evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nora CornolleHailey Cowan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nora Cornolle(6 fights)Hailey Cowan(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +35.1|Blue -35.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -518.0|Blue +518.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nora CornolleTargetHailey Cowan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hailey Cowan edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:14
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:24Control
Round 2Nora Cornolle edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:19
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
