Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jailton Almeida has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shamil AbdurakhimovL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 18W
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22 Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shamil AbdurakhimovMetricJailton Almeida
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.61Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Shamil AbdurakhimovJailton Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)Jailton Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -61.4|Blue +61.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +175.0|Blue -175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Shamil AbdurakhimovTargetJailton Almeida
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Shamil Abdurakhimov rounds
Round 1Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:45Control
Round 2Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
