Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Adriano Martins has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Adriano Martins (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leonardo SantosL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Stevie Ray · Jun 19W
vs Roman Bogatov · Jul 20L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 21L
vs Jared Gordon · Aug 22 Adriano Martins
oldest →L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 14W
vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 15W
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 15L
KOvs Kajan Johnson · Sep 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leonardo SantosMetricAdriano Martins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.58evenly matched on net striking-0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Leonardo SantosAdriano Martins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leonardo Santos(10 fights)Adriano Martins(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +71.3|Blue -71.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Leonardo SantosTargetAdriano Martins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Adriano Martins edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Adriano Martins edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
