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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Maycee Barber won · S-DEC R3

Elo1477

Elo1514

Andrea LeevsMaycee BarberUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Saturday, March 25, 2023San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Maycee Barber won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndrea Lee: Pressure fightervsMaycee Barber: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Maycee Barber wins(78.2%)

Actual result: Maycee Barber wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maycee Barber at -270 American odds

+$37 profit

$137 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andrea Lee enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Maycee Barber (52.9%).
Andrea Lee has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Andrea Lee

Red Corner

Maycee Barber

Blue Corner

+220

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-270

(73%)

1477

Elo

1514

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'6"

Height

5'5"

175.26 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andrea LeeL5 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · May 22

vs Natalia Silva · Aug 23

vs Miranda Maverick · Feb 24

vs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 24

vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 25

latest

Maycee Barber

oldest →

vs Jessica Eye · Jul 22

KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jun 23

vs Katlyn Cerminara · Mar 24

vs Karine Silva · Dec 25

KOvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andrea LeeMetricMaycee Barber

4.62

Strikes / min

4.56

3.91

Strikes absorbed / min

2.78

61%

Strike defense

55%

1.65

TDs / 15 min

1.56

53%

Takedown defense

51%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.71Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap+1.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andrea LeeMaycee Barber

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andrea Lee(10 fights)Maycee Barber(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -36.6|Blue +36.6

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andrea LeeTargetMaycee Barber

By target zone

18% acc · 26%

Head

32% acc · 65%

56% acc · 38%

Body

45% acc · 19%

74% acc · 36%

Leg

80% acc · 17%

By position

35% acc · 87%

Distance

34% acc · 79%

80% acc · 10%

Clinch

43% acc · 6%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andrea Lee rounds

even

Maycee Barber rounds

Round 1Andrea Lee edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control2:06

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:54

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Andrea Lee edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns3

Control1:20

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:43Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 103

Sig Strikes

48 / 127

37.7%

Sig Str %

37%

57 / 125

Total Strikes

66 / 158

5 / 5

TDs

2 / 2

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

5:20

Ctrl Time

0:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Maycee Barber	17 / 45	22 / 55	0 / 0
1	Andrea Lee	12 / 35	16 / 39	1 / 1
2	Maycee Barber	17 / 43	24 / 57	1 / 1
2	Andrea Lee	15 / 38	26 / 52	1 / 1
3	Maycee Barber	14 / 39	20 / 46	1 / 1
3	Andrea Lee	12 / 30	15 / 34	3 / 3

Andrea Lee

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14

Maycee Barber

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13