Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Thatch enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Brandon Thatch is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Thatch (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon ThatchL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Justin Edwards · Aug 13W
KOvs Paulo Thiago · Nov 13L
SUBvs Benson Henderson · Feb 15L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Jul 15L
SUBvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Mar 16 Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon ThatchMetricNiko Price
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.93evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brandon ThatchNiko Price
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Thatch(6 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -86.1|Blue +86.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brandon ThatchTargetNiko Price
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Niko Price edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:01
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:52Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
