Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jordan Wright enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Zac Pauga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jordan Wright is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Zac Pauga has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Zac Pauga has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan WrightL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Nov 20W
KOvs Jamie Pickett · May 21L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 21L
SUBvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Apr 22L
KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Oct 22 Zac PaugaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Mohammed Usman · Aug 22L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Jun 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan WrightMetricZac Pauga
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.93Δ 3.66 — meaningful gap+1.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jordan WrightZac Pauga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Wright(7 fights)Zac Pauga(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -43.5|Blue +43.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jordan WrightTargetZac Pauga
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Zac Pauga edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:32Control
Round 2Zac Pauga edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:10
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:27Control
Round 3Zac Pauga edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:03
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
