Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Garrett Armfield has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brady HiestandW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Ricky Turcios · Aug 21W
vs Fernie Garcia · Nov 22W
KOvs Batgerel Danaa · Apr 23 Garrett Armfield
oldest →L
SUBvs David Onama · Jul 22W
KOvs Toshiomi Kazama · Aug 23L
vs Serhiy Sidey · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brady HiestandMetricGarrett Armfield
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.05Δ 2.76 — meaningful gap+1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brady HiestandGarrett Armfield
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brady Hiestand(4 fights)Garrett Armfield(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +18.4|Blue -18.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +273.0|Blue -273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brady HiestandTargetGarrett Armfield
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brady Hiestand edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns3
Control2:47
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 2Garrett Armfield edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:32
Knockdowns0
41Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:52Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Brady Hiestand edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control1:17
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
