Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Istela Nunes enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Istela Nunes has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Istela Nunes has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Istela Nunes has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Istela NunesL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Yazmin Jauregui · Dec 22L
KOvs Viktoriia Dudakova · Jul 23L
vs Loma Lookboonmee · Apr 25 Ariane CarnelossiL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Loopy Godinez · May 22W
vs Piera Rodriguez · May 24L
SUBvs Talita Alencar · Nov 25L
KOvs Ketlen Souza · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Istela NunesMetricAriane Carnelossi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21Δ 2.19 — meaningful gap-1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Istela NunesAriane Carnelossi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Istela Nunes(5 fights)Ariane Carnelossi(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Istela NunesTargetAriane Carnelossi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Ariane Carnelossi rounds
Round 1Istela Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:21Control
Round 2Ariane Carnelossi edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:33Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:10Control
