Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Haddon has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Cody Haddon has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dan Argueta (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan Argueta
oldest →L
vs Damon Jackson · Jun 22W
vs Nick Aguirre · Jan 23L
SUBvs Jean Matsumoto · Apr 24 Cody Haddon
oldest →W
KOvs Aoriqileng · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan ArguetaMetricCody Haddon
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.96Δ 6.69 — meaningful gap+5.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dan ArguetaCody Haddon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Argueta(4 fights)Cody Haddon(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -45.3|Blue +45.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dan ArguetaTargetCody Haddon
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cody Haddon edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control1:50
45Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 2Cody Haddon edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control1:51
31Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:00Control
Round 3Cody Haddon edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control0:42
64Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
