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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Mayra Bueno Silva won · SUB R1

Elo1453

Elo1544

Gillian Robertson editorial illustration

Mayra Bueno SilvavsGillian RobertsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · Saturday, September 22, 2018Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Mayra Bueno Silva won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:55

Style matchupMayra Bueno Silva: Well-roundedvsGillian Robertson: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Gillian Robertson wins(71.5%)

Actual result: Mayra Bueno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gillian Robertson at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mayra Bueno Silva has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mayra Bueno Silva

Red Corner

Gillian Robertson

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1453

Elo

1544

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

167.64 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mayra Bueno SilvaL5 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 24

KOvs Macy Chiasson · Jun 24

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 25

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Nov 25

DECvs Michelle Montague · Apr 26

latest

Gillian RobertsonW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24

vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24

KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25

vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mayra Bueno SilvaMetricGillian Robertson

3.52

Strikes / min

2.71

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

51%

Strike defense

56%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

2.76

64%

Takedown defense

38%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.19Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mayra Bueno SilvaGillian Robertson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mayra Bueno Silva(10 fights)Gillian Robertson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -91.1|Blue +91.1

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Grappler Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mayra Bueno SilvaTargetGillian Robertson

By target zone

30% acc · 82%

Head

59% acc · 91%

100% acc · 18%

Body

100% acc · 9%

Leg

By position

23% acc · 45%

Distance

25% acc · 18%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

67% acc · 55%

Ground

89% acc · 73%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mayra Bueno Silva rounds

even

Gillian Robertson rounds

Round 1Gillian Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:14

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:42Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 32

Sig Strikes

11 / 18

34%

Sig Str %

61%

12 / 33

Total Strikes

17 / 27

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:14

Ctrl Time

2:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gillian Robertson	11 / 18	17 / 27	1 / 3	0
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	11 / 32	12 / 33	0 / 0	1

Mayra Bueno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights12

Gillian Robertson

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights20