Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nick Denis is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Joseph Sandoval has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Joseph Sandoval has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nick Denis has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Sandoval (53.5%).
- Nick Denis has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joseph Sandoval
oldest →L
KOvs Walel Watson · Oct 11 Nick Denis
oldest →L
SUBvs Roland Delorme · May 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joseph SandovalMetricNick Denis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-10.30Δ 11.42 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joseph SandovalNick Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joseph Sandoval(2 fights)Nick Denis(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.9|Blue +138.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joseph SandovalTargetNick Denis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nick Denis edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
