Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Wilson Reis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Ortiz
oldest →L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
KOvs Hector Sandoval · Aug 17W
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 18W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19 Wilson Reis
oldest →L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17L
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin OrtizMetricWilson Reis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.77Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap-1.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin OrtizWilson Reis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)Wilson Reis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin OrtizTargetWilson Reis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:04
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:52Control
Round 2Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:07
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:20Control
Round 3Wilson Reis edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:04
17Sig. strikes
6Takedowns
3:37Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
