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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Issei Tamura won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1352
Tiequan Zhang
Elo1352

Tiequan ZhangvsIssei TamuraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · Saturday, February 25, 2012Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Issei Tamura won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:32

Model Prediction: Tiequan Zhang wins(78.6%)

Actual result: Issei Tamura wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tiequan Zhang at -196 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tiequan Zhang has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tiequan Zhang
Red Corner
VS
Issei Tamura
Blue Corner
-196
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+181
(36%)
1352
Elo
1352
33
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tiequan ZhangL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Jason Reinhardt · Feb 11
L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 11
L
vs Jon Tuck · Nov 12
latest
Issei TamuraL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Raphael Assuncao · Jul 12
L
KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Mar 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tiequan ZhangMetricIssei Tamura
—
Strikes / min
1.89
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.58
—
Strike defense
44%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.92
—
Takedown defense
33%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes3.0 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts2.00 vs —Form-0.3 vs 0.0
Tiequan ZhangIssei Tamura

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Tiequan Zhang(4 fights)Issei Tamura(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Tiequan Zhang

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1

Issei Tamura

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights3