Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valter Walker enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Valter Walker threatens submissions; Don'Tale Mayes has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Don'Tale Mayes has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Don'Tale MayesL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 23L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
vs Thomas Petersen · May 25 Valter WalkerW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Lukasz Brzeski · Apr 24W
SUBvs Junior Tafa · Aug 24W
SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 25W
SUBvs Louie Sutherland · Oct 25W
SUBvs Thomas Petersen · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Don'Tale MayesMetricValter Walker
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Don'Tale MayesValter Walker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)Valter Walker(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -93.6|Blue +93.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Don'Tale MayesTargetValter Walker
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Valter Walker edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:58Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
