Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Casey Kenney has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Casey Kenney has 61pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Casey Kenney (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manny Bermudez
oldest →W
SUBvs Albert Morales · Feb 18W
SUBvs Davey Grant · Jul 18W
SUBvs Benito Lopez · Feb 19L
SUBvs Charles Rosa · Oct 19 Casey KenneyL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Louis Smolka · May 20W
vs Heili Alateng · Oct 20W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 20L
vs Dominick Cruz · Mar 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manny BermudezMetricCasey Kenney
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Manny BermudezCasey Kenney
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manny Bermudez(5 fights)Casey Kenney(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -28.9|Blue +28.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +41.0|Blue -41.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Manny BermudezTargetCasey Kenney
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Casey Kenney edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:32
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:49Control
Round 2Casey Kenney edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control1:22
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:55Control
Round 3Manny Bermudez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control3:16
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
