Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thomas Almeida enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Albert Morales enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Almeida (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thomas AlmeidaL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · May 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 17L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 20L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 21 Albert MoralesL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Andre Soukhamthath · Mar 17L
vs Benito Lopez · Dec 17L
SUBvs Manny Bermudez · Feb 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thomas AlmeidaMetricAlbert Morales
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thomas AlmeidaAlbert Morales
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thomas Almeida(10 fights)Albert Morales(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +33.7|Blue -33.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -46.2|Blue +46.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thomas AlmeidaTargetAlbert Morales
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thomas Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:06
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 2Thomas Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
