Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Aguilera is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Sean Brady has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Sean Brady threatens submissions; Christian Aguilera has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Sean Brady has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sean Brady has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Aguilera (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Brady
oldest →W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 23W
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 24W
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Mar 25L
KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25W
DECvs Joaquin Buckley · May 26 Christian Aguilera
oldest →W
KOvs Anthony Ivy · Jun 20L
SUBvs Carlston Harris · May 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean BradyMetricChristian Aguilera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.31Δ 2.81 — meaningful gap-1.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean BradyChristian Aguilera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Brady(10 fights)Christian Aguilera(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +121.3|Blue -121.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sean BradyTargetChristian Aguilera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Christian Aguilera rounds
Round 1Sean Brady edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control1:05
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Sean Brady edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control1:03
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
