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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cam Rowston won · Decision R3
Elo1560
Elo1490
Robert Bryczek

Cam RowstonvsRobert BryczekUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia

Official fight result

Cam Rowston won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cam Rowston wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Cam Rowston wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Robert Bryczek has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Cam Rowston
Red Corner
VS
Robert Bryczek
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1560
Elo
1490
31
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
198.12 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cam RowstonW2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Andre Petroski · Sep 25
W
KOvs Cody Brundage · Jan 26
latest
Robert Bryczek
oldest →
L
vs Ihor Potieria · Feb 24
W
KOvs Brad Tavares · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cam RowstonMetricRobert Bryczek
4.60
Strikes / min
2.80
2.12
Strikes absorbed / min
4.51
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.34
TDs / 15 min
0.36
33%
Takedown defense
71%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.48Δ 4.19 — meaningful gap-1.71
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701498152515531580← oldermost recent →
Cam Rowston(3 fights)Robert Bryczek(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +70.7|Blue -70.7
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Cam Rowston

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights2

Robert Bryczek

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2