Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Paul Craig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Brendan Allen has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan AllenW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25W
DECvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 26 Paul CraigL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Andre Muniz · Jul 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Jun 25L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan AllenMetricPaul Craig
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brendan AllenPaul Craig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Allen(10 fights)Paul Craig(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +77.6|Blue -77.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brendan AllenTargetPaul Craig
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brendan Allen edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control2:49
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 2Brendan Allen edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control4:47
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Brendan Allen edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:22
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
