Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
oldest →L
SUBvs David Zawada · Nov 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Mar 21L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 23 Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
oldest →L
vs Caio Borralho · Apr 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abubakar NurmagomedovMetricGadzhi Omargadzhiev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Abubakar NurmagomedovGadzhi Omargadzhiev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abubakar Nurmagomedov(4 fights)Gadzhi Omargadzhiev(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +59.0|Blue -59.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +385.0|Blue -385.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Abubakar NurmagomedovTargetGadzhi Omargadzhiev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Abubakar Nurmagomedov rounds
1
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev rounds
Round 1Gadzhi Omargadzhiev edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control2:57
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 2Abubakar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:51
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Abubakar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control1:07
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
