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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Felipe Lima won · Decision R3
Elo1502
Elo1504
Felipe Lima

Morgan CharrierevsFelipe LimaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

Official fight result

Felipe Lima won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMorgan Charriere: WrestlervsFelipe Lima: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Felipe Lima has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Morgan Charriere
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Lima
Blue Corner
+162
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-197
(66%)
1502
Elo
1504
30
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Morgan Charriere
oldest →
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Apr 24
W
KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 24
L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 25
W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jul 25
L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 25
latest
Felipe Lima
oldest →
W
SUBvs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 24
W
vs Miles Johns · Dec 24
L
vs Payton Talbott · Jun 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Morgan CharriereMetricFelipe Lima
4.02
Strikes / min
2.86
4.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
53%
Strike defense
64%
2.06
TDs / 15 min
2.18
83%
Takedown defense
85%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Morgan Charriere(6 fights)Felipe Lima(3 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Morgan CharriereTargetFelipe Lima

By target zone

24
20% acc · 67%
Head
82
47% acc · 73%
11
50% acc · 31%
Body
18
72% acc · 16%
1
50% acc · 3%
Leg
12
63% acc · 11%

By position

36
25% acc · 100%
Distance
107
50% acc · 96%
0
0% acc
Clinch
5
83% acc · 4%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Morgan Charriere rounds
0
even
3
Felipe Lima rounds
Round 1Felipe Lima edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:12
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Felipe Lima edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
48Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Felipe Lima edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:19
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
36 / 146
Sig Strikes
112 / 218
25.7%
Sig Str %
50%
38 / 148
Total Strikes
115 / 221
0 / 3
TDs
2 / 2
0%
TD %
100%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:31
Ctrl Time
0:13

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Felipe Lima27 / 6628 / 671 / 10
1Morgan Charriere17 / 6718 / 680 / 11
2Felipe Lima48 / 7949 / 801 / 10
2Morgan Charriere11 / 5412 / 550 / 20
3Felipe Lima37 / 7338 / 740 / 00
3Morgan Charriere8 / 258 / 250 / 00

Morgan Charriere

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights7

Felipe Lima

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4