Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Asu Almabayev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Asu Almabayev threatens submissions; Jose Johnson has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Jose Johnson has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Asu AlmabayevW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Mar 25W
SUBvs Alex Perez · Nov 25W
SUBvs Charles Johnson · Jun 26 Jose Johnson
oldest →L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Aug 23W
SUBvs Chad Anheliger · Nov 23L
SUBvs Felipe Bunes · Jan 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Asu AlmabayevMetricJose Johnson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.32evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Asu AlmabayevJose Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Asu Almabayev(8 fights)Jose Johnson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +71.1|Blue -71.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Asu AlmabayevTargetJose Johnson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Asu Almabayev edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns5
Control3:24
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Asu Almabayev edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control4:08
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Asu Almabayev edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control3:52
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
