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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Ketlen Vieira won · Decision R3
Elo1515
Ketlen Vieira
Elo1538
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Ketlen VieiravsJacqueline CavalcantiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · Saturday, May 16, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Ketlen Vieira won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKetlen Vieira: Well-roundedvsJacqueline Cavalcanti: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins(64.5%)

Actual result: Ketlen Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jacqueline Cavalcanti enters on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Jacqueline Cavalcanti has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Ketlen Vieira
Red Corner
VS
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1515
Elo
1538
34
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ketlen Vieira
oldest →
L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 23
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23
L
vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24
W
vs Macy Chiasson · May 25
L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25
latest
Jacqueline CavalcantiW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Zarah Fairn · Sep 23
W
vs Josiane Nunes · Aug 24
W
vs Nora Cornolle · Sep 24
W
vs Julia Avila · Feb 25
W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ketlen VieiraMetricJacqueline Cavalcanti
2.76
Strikes / min
5.65
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.17
50%
Strike defense
68%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
0.00
90%
Takedown defense
88%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.99Δ 3.47 — meaningful gap+2.48
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)Jacqueline Cavalcanti(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -23.0|Blue +23.0
Recent Form
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ketlen Vieira

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5