Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John DodsonL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Marlon Moraes · Nov 17W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20 Nathaniel WoodW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24W
vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25W
vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25W
vs Losene Keita · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricNathaniel Wood
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.38Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John DodsonNathaniel Wood
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John DodsonTargetNathaniel Wood
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nathaniel Wood edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:20
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control1:35
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 3John Dodson edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
