Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Paddy Pimblett threatens submissions; King Green has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- King Green has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- King Green has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
King GreenW4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Mar 25W
vs Lance Gibson Jr. · Dec 25W
KOvs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 26W
SUBvs Jeremy Stephens · May 26W
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jul 26 Paddy Pimblett
oldest →W
vs Jared Gordon · Dec 22W
vs Tony Ferguson · Dec 23W
KOvs Michael Chandler · Apr 25L
vs Justin Gaethje · Jan 26W
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
King GreenMetricPaddy Pimblett
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.91Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+1.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
King GreenPaddy Pimblett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
King Green(10 fights)Paddy Pimblett(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +26.8|Blue -26.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
King GreenTargetPaddy Pimblett
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1King Green edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control0:34
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
