Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Darren Stewart enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julian MarquezL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sam Alvey · Apr 21L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 22L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Mar 23L
KOvs Zachary Reese · Jun 24L
KOvs Cody Brundage · Mar 25 Darren StewartL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Maki Pitolo · Aug 20L
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 20L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julian MarquezMetricDarren Stewart
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Julian MarquezDarren Stewart
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julian Marquez(8 fights)Darren Stewart(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +74.7|Blue -74.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Julian MarquezTargetDarren Stewart
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Darren Stewart edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:20
19Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
3:22Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:34
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
