Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben Rothwell
oldest →L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jul 19W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21 Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben RothwellMetricOvince Saint Preux
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ben RothwellOvince Saint Preux
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Rothwell(10 fights)Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.1|Blue +3.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ben RothwellTargetOvince Saint Preux
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
Round 1Ben Rothwell edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:35
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control1:30
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Ben Rothwell edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control2:44
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
