Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yves Jabouin has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad PickettL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15W
vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16L
SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17 Yves JabouinL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Dustin Pague · Jun 13L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jan 14L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Apr 15L
SUBvs Felipe Arantes · Aug 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad PickettMetricYves Jabouin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.61Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad PickettYves Jabouin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Pickett(10 fights)Yves Jabouin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.5|Blue -4.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +31.0|Blue -31.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad PickettTargetYves Jabouin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yves Jabouin edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
