Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan BrookinsL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Michael Johnson · Dec 10W
KOvs Vagner Rocha · Feb 12L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 12L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 12 Erik Koch
oldest →L
KOvs Daron Cruickshank · May 14W
SUBvs Shane Campbell · May 16W
vs Kyle Stewart · Jul 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan BrookinsMetricErik Koch
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.94evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jonathan BrookinsErik Koch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Brookins(5 fights)Erik Koch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -139.9|Blue +139.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jonathan BrookinsTargetErik Koch
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Jonathan Brookins rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control3:30
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Jonathan Brookins edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:55
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control2:13
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
