Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cory SandhagenL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25L
DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26 Iuri Alcantara
oldest →W
SUBvs Brad Pickett · Oct 16W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17L
vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cory SandhagenMetricIuri Alcantara
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cory SandhagenIuri Alcantara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -6.7|Blue +6.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cory SandhagenTargetIuri Alcantara
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns0
Control3:24
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:13Control
Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:48
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
