Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Norma Dumont has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aspen Ladd
oldest →W
KOvs Tonya Evinger · Oct 18W
vs Sijara Eubanks · May 19L
KOvs Germaine De Randamie · Jul 19W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Dec 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Apr 22 Norma Dumont
oldest →W
vs Chelsea Chandler · Jul 23W
vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24W
vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25L
DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aspen LaddMetricNorma Dumont
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87Δ 2.39 — meaningful gap+1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aspen LaddNorma Dumont
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aspen Ladd(7 fights)Norma Dumont(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -93.9|Blue +93.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +532.0|Blue -532.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aspen LaddTargetNorma Dumont
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Norma Dumont edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Norma Dumont edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:37
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Norma Dumont edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:51
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control1:49
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:23Control
Round 5Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control4:15
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
