Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Massenzio enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Steve Cantwell has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Massenzio (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Steve CantwellL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Cyrille Diabate · Mar 11 Mike MassenzioL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brian Stann · Aug 10L
vs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jun 11L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Jan 12L
SUBvs Karlos Vemola · May 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Steve CantwellMetricMike Massenzio
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.13evenly matched on net striking-1.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Steve CantwellMike Massenzio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Steve Cantwell(3 fights)Mike Massenzio(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +100.0|Blue -100.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Steve CantwellTargetMike Massenzio
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Massenzio edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:10
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Mike Massenzio edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:09Control
Round 3Mike Massenzio edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
