Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Curtis has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Curtis
oldest →L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 23W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25 Myktybek OrolbaiW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Uros Medic · Nov 23W
vs Elves Brener · May 24L
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Oct 24W
SUBvs Tofiq Musayev · Jun 25W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CurtisMetricMyktybek Orolbai
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris CurtisMyktybek Orolbai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Curtis(10 fights)Myktybek Orolbai(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -57.1|Blue +57.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris CurtisTargetMyktybek Orolbai
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Myktybek Orolbai edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
7Takedowns
4:02Control
Round 2Myktybek Orolbai edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:06
2Sig. strikes
7Takedowns
4:13Control
Round 3Myktybek Orolbai edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
5Takedowns
4:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
