Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cory Sandhagen is a KO finisher (55% of wins). TJ Dillashaw has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- TJ Dillashaw has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cory SandhagenL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25L
DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26 TJ DillashawL2 streak
oldest →W
vs John Lineker · Dec 16W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cory SandhagenMetricTJ Dillashaw
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39evenly matched on net striking+1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cory SandhagenTJ Dillashaw
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -11.1|Blue +11.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -749.0|Blue +749.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cory SandhagenTargetTJ Dillashaw
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1TJ Dillashaw edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:24Control
Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:18Control
Round 3TJ Dillashaw edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:00Control
Round 4Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:41Control
Round 5TJ Dillashaw edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:00
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:59Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
