Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kazuki Tokudome enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kazuki Tokudome has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kazuki Tokudome (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cristiano Marcello
oldest →L
KOvs Sam Sicilia · Jun 12 Kazuki TokudomeL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Norman Parke · Jul 13L
vs Yui Chul Nam · Mar 14L
SUBvs Johnny Case · Sep 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cristiano MarcelloMetricKazuki Tokudome
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.05evenly matched on net striking-1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cristiano MarcelloKazuki Tokudome
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cristiano Marcello(4 fights)Kazuki Tokudome(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.7|Blue +48.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cristiano MarcelloTargetKazuki Tokudome
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Cristiano Marcello rounds
Round 1Kazuki Tokudome edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:02
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:54Control
Round 2Kazuki Tokudome edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:29
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:53Control
Round 3Kazuki Tokudome edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:25
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:39Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
