Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jennifer Maia has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Roxanne Modafferi has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21L
vs Taila Santos · Sep 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22 Jennifer Maia
oldest →L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jan 22L
vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 22W
vs Maryna Moroz · Nov 22W
vs Casey O'Neill · Mar 23L
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricJennifer Maia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.35Δ 2.18 — meaningful gap-0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Roxanne ModafferiJennifer Maia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Jennifer Maia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -81.5|Blue +81.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Roxanne ModafferiTargetJennifer Maia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Roxanne Modafferi rounds
Round 1Jennifer Maia edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control1:47
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:12Control
Round 2Jennifer Maia edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:10
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:07Control
Round 3Jennifer Maia edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:35
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:59Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
