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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ciryl Gane won · S-DEC R3

Elo1531

Elo1535

Ciryl GanevsAlexander VolkovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Saturday, December 7, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ciryl Gane won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCiryl Gane: Elusive strikervsAlexander Volkov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Ciryl Gane wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Ciryl Gane wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ciryl Gane at -380 American odds

+$26 profit

$126 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alexander Volkov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkov has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ciryl Gane

Red Corner

Alexander Volkov

Blue Corner

-380

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

1531

Elo

1535

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'7"

205.74 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ciryl Gane

oldest →

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 22

SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23

KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23

vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25

KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 26

latest

Alexander VolkovW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Mar 23

SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24

vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25

DECvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ciryl GaneMetricAlexander Volkov

5.29

Strikes / min

4.84

2.33

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

60%

Strike defense

54%

0.68

TDs / 15 min

0.54

47%

Takedown defense

68%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.96Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+1.94

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ciryl GaneAlexander Volkov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ciryl Gane(10 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.1|Blue +4.1

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +294.0|Blue -294.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ciryl GaneTargetAlexander Volkov

By target zone

47% acc · 33%

Head

41% acc · 49%

91% acc · 23%

Body

90% acc · 46%

95% acc · 44%

Leg

40% acc · 5%

By position

70% acc · 93%

Distance

54% acc · 92%

0% acc

Clinch

75% acc · 8%

100% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ciryl Gane rounds

even

Alexander Volkov rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control1:38

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:34Control

Round 2Ciryl Gane edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns1

Control0:39

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Alexander Volkov edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control1:23

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:58Control

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 61

Sig Strikes

39 / 71

68.7%

Sig Str %

54.7%

48 / 66

Total Strikes

105 / 140

2 / 4

TDs

3 / 4

66.5%

TD %

83%

Sub Att

Rev

3:40

Ctrl Time

4:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alexander Volkov	10 / 14	12 / 18	2 / 3	0
1	Ciryl Gane	12 / 15	17 / 20	1 / 1	2
2	Alexander Volkov	25 / 47	25 / 47	0 / 0	1
2	Ciryl Gane	27 / 39	27 / 39	1 / 3	0
3	Alexander Volkov	4 / 10	68 / 75	1 / 1	0
3	Ciryl Gane	4 / 7	4 / 7	0 / 0	0

Ciryl Gane

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights13

Alexander Volkov

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights18