Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Moreno has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon MorenoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26 Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon MorenoMetricAlexandre Pantoja
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.20evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brandon MorenoAlexandre Pantoja
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -36.3|Blue +36.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brandon MorenoTargetAlexandre Pantoja
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Alexandre Pantoja rounds
Round 1Alexandre Pantoja edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:05
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
Round 2Alexandre Pantoja edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 3Alexandre Pantoja edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:11
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
