Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Derek Brunson has lost 86% of fights by KO.
- Derek Brunson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20 Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yoel RomeroMetricDerek Brunson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yoel RomeroDerek Brunson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yoel Romero(10 fights)Derek Brunson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -72.7|Blue +72.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yoel RomeroTargetDerek Brunson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Derek Brunson edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:02
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:55Control
Round 2Derek Brunson edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:03Control
Round 3Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:51
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
