Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Shana Dobson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Mariya Agapova has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mariya Agapova (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mariya AgapovaL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Hannah Cifers · Jun 20W
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Oct 21L
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Mar 22L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Sep 22L
SUBvs Luana Santos · Jul 24 Shana DobsonL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Ariel Beck · Dec 17L
vs Lauren Mueller · Apr 18L
KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Feb 20L
KOvs Casey O'Neill · Feb 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mariya AgapovaMetricShana Dobson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.81Δ 2.67 — meaningful gap-1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mariya AgapovaShana Dobson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mariya Agapova(6 fights)Shana Dobson(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mariya AgapovaTargetShana Dobson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mariya Agapova edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control2:31
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:47Control
Round 2Shana Dobson edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control0:40
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
