Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Beal has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Beal has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris KeladesL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Paddy Holohan · Oct 14L
vs Sergio Pettis · Apr 16 Chris BealL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Patrick Williams · Apr 14W
vs Tateki Matsuda · Sep 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris KeladesMetricChris Beal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris KeladesChris Beal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Kelades(4 fights)Chris Beal(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +133.3|Blue -133.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris KeladesTargetChris Beal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Beal edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:23
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:50Control
Round 2Chris Kelades edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control2:10
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 3Chris Kelades edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control0:06
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:41Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
