Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Misha Cirkunov has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Misha Cirkunov has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Misha Cirkunov has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Misha CirkunovL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Johnny Walker · Mar 19W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22 Wellington TurmanL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 21L
vs Andre Petroski · Nov 22L
SUBvs Jared Gooden · Dec 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Misha CirkunovMetricWellington Turman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.80Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Misha CirkunovWellington Turman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Wellington Turman(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -47.3|Blue +47.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Misha CirkunovTargetWellington Turman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Wellington Turman rounds
Round 1Misha Cirkunov edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control2:06
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:15Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:58
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
