Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dennis Siver has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dennis Siver has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Rosa (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dennis Siver
oldest →L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Jul 13L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 15L
vs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jun 15 Charles RosaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Darrick Minner · Feb 21W
vs Justin Jaynes · Jun 21L
vs Damon Jackson · Oct 21L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dennis SiverMetricCharles Rosa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.20Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap-0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dennis SiverCharles Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dennis Siver(10 fights)Charles Rosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +60.4|Blue -60.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.1|Blue +48.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dennis SiverTargetCharles Rosa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dennis Siver edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control2:04
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Dennis Siver edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control2:52
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 3Dennis Siver edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control3:55
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
