Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stipe Miocic is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Fabricio Werdum has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stipe Miocic has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →W
SUBvs Walt Harris · Oct 17W
vs Marcin Tybura · Nov 17L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 18L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20 Stipe MiocicL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18W
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricStipe Miocic
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Fabricio WerdumStipe Miocic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Stipe Miocic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +203.0|Blue -203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Fabricio WerdumTargetStipe Miocic
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
