← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

5 Rounds

Uros Medic won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1566

Elo1500

Uros MedicvsDaniel RodriguezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Official fight result

Uros Medic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:30

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Daniel Rodriguez

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Daniel Rodriguez at +294 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Style matchupUros Medic: StrikervsDaniel Rodriguez: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Uros Medic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Uros Medic

Red Corner

Daniel Rodriguez

Blue Corner

-380

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+294

(25%)

1566

Elo

1500

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Uros MedicW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tim Means · Apr 24

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25

KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Aug 25

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 25

KOvs Geoff Neal · Feb 26

latest

Daniel RodriguezW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24

vs Alex Morono · Oct 24

KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25

vs Kevin Holland · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Uros MedicMetricDaniel Rodriguez

5.59

Strikes / min

7.20

3.42

Strikes absorbed / min

5.40

56%

Strike defense

57%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

0.51

55%

Takedown defense

64%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.17evenly matched on net striking+1.80

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Uros Medic(10 fights)Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +65.7|Blue -65.7

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -217.0|Blue +217.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Uros MedicTargetDaniel Rodriguez

By target zone

82% acc · 82%

Head

0% acc

50% acc · 9%

Body

100% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

83% acc · 45%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

75% acc · 55%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Uros Medic rounds

even

Daniel Rodriguez rounds

Round 1Uros Medic edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:04

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 14

Sig Strikes

1 / 3

78%

Sig Str %

33%

11 / 14

Total Strikes

1 / 3

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Daniel Rodriguez	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0
1	Uros Medic	11 / 14	11 / 14	0 / 0	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Uros Medic

Odds

-380

Market-implied probability

Daniel Rodriguez 24%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Uros Medic$126

Daniel Rodriguez (model pick · research)$394

24% market-implied · model 53% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Uros Medic

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11

Daniel Rodriguez

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights15