Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 22W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23W
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25 Esteban Ribovics
oldest →W
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jul 23W
KOvs Terrance McKinney · May 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 24W
vs Elves Brener · Aug 25L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nasrat HaqparastMetricEsteban Ribovics
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.36Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap+1.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nasrat HaqparastEsteban Ribovics
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)Esteban Ribovics(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.9|Blue -8.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nasrat HaqparastTargetEsteban Ribovics
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Esteban Ribovics edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Esteban Ribovics edged it
Sig. strikes49
Takedowns0
Control0:00
62Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Nasrat Haqparast edged it
Sig. strikes53
Takedowns1
Control0:49
49Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
