Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mark Hunt is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Fabricio Werdum has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mark Hunt has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Fabricio Werdum has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →W
SUBvs Walt Harris · Oct 17W
vs Marcin Tybura · Nov 17L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 18L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20 Mark HuntL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17L
vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18L
vs Justin Willis · Dec 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricMark Hunt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Fabricio WerdumMark Hunt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Mark Hunt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +123.5|Blue -123.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Fabricio WerdumTargetMark Hunt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mark Hunt edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:48Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
